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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">najge</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Геоэкономика энергетики</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Geoeconomics of Energetics</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2687-0703</issn><publisher><publisher-name>АНО Институт стран СНГ</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.48137/26870703_2025_29_1_75</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">najge-164</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>МИРОВЫЕ И РЕГИОНАЛЬНЫЕ РЫНКИ ЭНЕРГОРЕСУРСОВ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>GLOBAL AND REGIONAL ENERGY MARKETS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>АНАЛИЗ МИРОВОГО РЫНКА ПОТРЕБЛЕНИЯ И ДОБЫЧИ УГЛЯ В 1992–2023 ГОДАХ. ПОСТРОЕНИЕ ПРОГНОЗА ДО 2035 ГОДА</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>ANALYSIS OF THE GLOBAL COAL MARKET IN 1992–2023. FORECAST UP TO 2035</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Алферов</surname><given-names>C. Ю.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Alfyorov</surname><given-names>S. Yu.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>АЛФЕРОВ Сергей Юрьевич, главный специалист</p><p>г. Москва, 127006, Краснопролетарская ул., 4, БЦ «Эрмитаж плаза»</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Sergey YU. ALFYOROV, Chief Specialist of LLC Gruzovaya Company (LLC Demetra-Holding)</p><p>4, Hermitage Plaza Business Center, Krasnoproletarskaya St., Moscow, 127006</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">tyazhest@gmail.com</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ООО «Грузовая компания» (Деметра-Холдинг)</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>LLC Gruzovaya Company (LLC Demetra-Holding)</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>08</day><month>04</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>75</fpage><lpage>90</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Алферов C.Ю., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Алферов C.Ю.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Alfyorov S.Y.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://www.geoenergy-journal.ru/jour/article/view/164">https://www.geoenergy-journal.ru/jour/article/view/164</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье проведен комплексный анализ объемов потребления и производства угля в период с 1992 по 2023 г. с детальным рассмотрением динамики изменений в разрезе отдельных стран и регионов. Выявлены ключевые участники мирового угольного рынка и показана динамика их развития. Особое внимание уделено анализу факторов, обусловивших трансформации в угольной промышленности, среди которых экономические, идеологические, геополитические и санитарно-эпидемиологические причины. Методологическая основа исследования включает статистический анализ данных о добыче и потреблении угля в разрезе государств, сравнительный анализ для сопоставления динамики развития различных стран и регионов, факторный анализ, направленный на определение первопричин изменений на мировом рынке угля, а также контентанализ официальных отчетов, докладов, доктринальных документов и иных источников, отражающих состояние и перспективы угольной отрасли. На основе полученных данных и с учетом современных тенденций развития мировой экономики, энергетического сектора и геополитических процессов в статье строится прогноз развития мирового угольного рынка до 2035 г. Обосновано, что в этот период ожидается формирование устойчивого тренда на сокращение объемов добычи и потребления угля в мировом масштабе. Отдельное внимание уделено прогнозу развития российского угольного рынка. Представленные выводы и прогнозы могут быть полезны для ученых, аналитиков, политиков и бизнес-сообщества, занимающихся вопросами энергетической безопасности, угольной промышленности и глобального экономического развития.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The article presents a comprehensive analysis of coal consumption and production volumes from 1992 to 2023, with a detailed examination of the dynamics across countries and regions. The author identifies key players in the global coal market as well as the main trends in their development. Special attention is given to analyzing the factors driving transformations in the coal industry, including economic, ideological, geopolitical, and sanitary-epidemiological. The methodological basis of the study includes statistical analysis of coal production and consumption data by country, comparative analysis to assess the development dynamics of different countries and regions, factor analysis to determine the root causes of changes in the global coal market, and content analysis of official reports, statements, doctrinal documents, and other sources reflecting the state and prospects of the coal industry. Based on the obtained data and considering current trends in global economic development, the energy sector, and geopolitical processes, the article provides a forecast for the global coal market until 2035. The authors reason that during this period it is expected to form a stable trend to reduce the volume of coal production and consumption on a global scale. Special attention is paid to the forecast of the Russian coal market development. The presented findings and projections may be useful for researchers, analysts, policymakers, and the business community engaged in issues of energy security, the coal industry, and global economic development.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>потребление угля</kwd><kwd>добыча угля</kwd><kwd>тенденции развития</kwd><kwd>прогнозирование</kwd><kwd>мировой энергетический рынок</kwd><kwd>энергетика</kwd><kwd>энергоресурсы</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>coal consumption</kwd><kwd>coal mining</kwd><kwd>development trends</kwd><kwd>forecasting</kwd><kwd>global energy market</kwd><kwd>energy</kwd><kwd>energy resources</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Правительство утвердило план реализации Стратегии социально-экономического развития Сибирского федерального округа до 2035 г. 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