Factors of Possible Accession to The EAEU of Tajikistan And Uzbekistan

Abstract

The modern world is subject to constant transformations that affect countries and require some adaptation of the economy, ruling elites and the population to new realities. The article considers trade, investment and energy factors influencing the decision of Tajikistan and Uzbekistan to join the Eurasian Economic Union. The obtained analysis shows that at the moment the desire of the Republic of Tajikistan to join the EAEU is not visible, even as an observer, unlike Uzbekistan. At the same time, at present there is no real alternative for the Republic of Tajikistan. From the author's point of view, it is preferable to consider the prospects of cooperation and possible accession of the republics to the EAEU, comprehensive, studying the possibilities and desires of the countries themselves, and the importance of such accession for the member states of the Union. Despite the relatively low trade turnover of the EAEU with the countries under consideration, investment and energy factors could become significant arguments for expanding the EAEU. An analysis of the modern economic and political field of Uzbekistan shows the reform of its priorities. But Uzbekistan's fairly strong and effective trade and economic bilateral relations with all countries, including the CIS countries, give reason to believe that observer status in the Union will not soon turn into the status of a full member, in particular, the Uzbek expert community adheres to the country's priority accession to the WTO.